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Google Android Earthquake Alerts System Reportedly Underestimated Kahramanmaraş Earthquake and Failed to Send Urgent Warnings to Millions

Occurred
Feb 3, 2023
Published
Jul 27, 2023
Source
AI Incident Database

Summary

During the February 6, 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence, Google's Android Earthquake Alerts system reportedly estimated the initial magnitude-7.8 earthquake at only magnitude 4.5–4.9. Just 469 users reportedly received its highest-level "Take Action" warning, while approximately 500,000 received lower-level notices; researchers later estimated that roughly 10 million people could have received urgent warnings providing up to 35 seconds to seek safety.

Developers

  • Google
  • Earthquake early warning system developers

Deployers

  • Google
  • Earthquake early warning system deployers

Harmed parties

  • Public safety
  • People exposed to earthquake hazards
  • General public of Turkey
  • General public
  • Android users in earthquake-affected areas of Turkey
  • Android users in earthquake-affected areas
  • Android users

Classification

Category confidence: 85%
Severity confidence: 90%

Rationale: System failure in automated earthquake alerting caused potential life-threatening harm by missing millions of warnings.

Classifier: Qwen/Qwen3.5-35B-A3B-FP8

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