Auditing the Privacy of Synthetic Gene Expression Data: A Unified Weighted-Distance Framework for No-Box Membership Inference

Summary

Synthetic gene expression data is increasingly proposed as a privacy-preserving substitute for controlled-access genomic repositories, but its safety depends on empirical auditing. Membership inference attacks (MIAs) provide that audit by testing whether a patient's gene expression profile was used to train a generative model. We report a red-team study on synthetic gene expression data derived from bulk RNA-seq profiles in The Cancer Genome Atlas, released by the ELSA Health 2026 Challenge. We unify five no-box attacks under a single weighted-distance framework in which each variant differs only in how it weights genes: uniformly (baseline), by variance, by synthetic-versus-reference KL divergence, by spectral residualization removing dominant principal components, and by curated pathway membership. Against a conditional variational autoencoder, spectral residualization raises AUC from 0.8251 to 0.8951 and TPR at 1% FPR from 0.3842 to 0.5970 on pan-cancer TCGA. Biological pathway priors did not transfer across targets.