Real-Time Human Trajectory Prediction from RGB-D for Mobile Robots Using Bi-Mamba

Summary

Predicting the short-term future trajectory of a person from RGB-D cameras is a key capability for mobile robots navigating in dynamic and human populated environment. The key challenge to deploying learned predictors on real robots is the train-deploy pipeline gap. Training data are often prepared with an idealized, smoothed ground truth, whereas at inference, the model is fed noisy estimates from pose detectors and depth sensors. The model is therefore evaluated on an input distribution it never encountered during training. Most existing models rely on recurrent neural networks (RNNs) or transformers, which either struggle to capture short-term temporal dependencies or suffer from computational cost. We present TrajMamba, a lightweight, bidirectional state space model for short-term human trajectory prediction using an RGB-D camera. The model uses a single shared processing path for both training and deployment, aligning human pose extraction, depth back projection, and smoothing processes. It encodes a short window of persons's hip center velocities with stacked bidirectional Mamba blocks and decodes future velocities with a GRU head. On the ETH/UCY benchmark, TrajMamba reaches an average ADE of 0.29 m FDE of 0.51 m. With 262K parameters, it runs in real time on modest hardware and is deployed on a TIAGo robot with an onboard NVIDIA Jetson Orin.